Building the Evidence Base: How Nature Projects Enhance Agricultural Resilience in a Changing Climate
This platform is a central hub for evidence on the value and benefits of integrating nature recovery with productive agriculture, based on studies in the Upper Paranapanema Basin.
This platform is underpinned by research led by the Center for Studies in Spatial Ecology and Sustainable Development (NEEDS) at the Federal University of São Carlos (UFSCAR).
The platform has been developed through the
Farming for a Nature Positive Future initiative.
Why is this region so significant?
The Upper Paranapanema Basin is a key agricultural region, with approximately X% of its land area dedicated to farming. Soy cultivation is the dominant agricultural activity, accounting for X% of total production.
However, the region’s agricultural sector faces growing risks from a changing climate. Shifts in rainfall patterns and rising temperatures are expected to significantly disrupt crop cycles and reduce yields—posing serious challenges to farm profitability and long-term resilience.
Farmers are under pressures to intensify land use which risks accelerating habitat loss. There is also variable compliance with the Forest Code [reference].
The region is also one of Brazil’s most important landscapes for biodiversity and water security. It sits at the interface of the Cerrado and Atlantic Forest biomes, and provides important habitat for many endangered species of animals and plants.
There is evidence that nature projects in this region can safeguard rivers, soils, and pollinators while supporting productive farming and resilient communities. The region has the potential to become a model for other regions facing the same challenges, both in Brazil and in the rest of the world.
UFSCAR's research is focused on the Upper Paranapanema Basin, a 22,500 km² watershed located in the state of São Paulo, in Brazil.

Data platform structure
The data platform synthesises research and evidence relating to the following themes. Click on the links to explore each theme in more detail.
Environmental and socio-economic context
The Upper Paranapanema basin. is located in the heart of the Atlantic Forest biome, one of the world's most biodiverse and threatened ecosystems. The Atlantic Forest ecoregion is home to 70 % of the Brazilian population and has only 28 % of native vegetation cover remaining.
Nature projects to address local challenges
Projects that restore nature can directly respond to local priorities such as securing water availability, supporting crop pollination, and conserving threatened species.
Landscape-scale restoration
The Upper Paranapanema basin’s forests, farms, and rivers create an opportunity for strategic, landscape-scale restoration that benefits both people and nature.
Landowner insights
Through UFSCAR's established network of farmers, the University has undertaken extensive research into compliance with the current laws relating to native vegetation conservation and the resources, perceptions and capabilities of famers on reforestation in the Atlantic Forest.
Business drivers
Unlocking private investment in nature recovery requires a good understanding of business drivers including regulatory requirements and the scope of voluntary commitments.





